Stock FAQs

which way will the stock market go on thursday feburary 8 technical analysis

by Tito Rempel Published 3 years ago Updated 2 years ago

What happened to the stock market in January?

January was the month that the U.S. stock market finally succumbed to the pullback that many had been forecasting throughout the latter half of 2021. The S&P 500 flirted with a market correction, falling at one point as much as 9.8% from the prior all-time high.

Could February be a good month for the stock market?

All this aside, Sandven says there’s reason to believe that the stock market could see a modest gain in February, although he expects stock prices will likely remain volatile. With about six weeks until the Fed convenes again, here’s what investors will be watching this month.

What can investors expect next week from the economy?

Next week, investors can expect an update on how Americans are feeling about the economy with the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for the month of December, as well as details on labor market conditions with the Labor Department’s JOLTS report.

Will earnings season bring more gains for the stock market?

So far, companies have been disclosing quarterly reports that are “modestly above expectations,” says Sandven, which supports further gains for the stock market. As earnings season wraps up in February, he’ll pay particular attention to the guidance for 2022 that companies are offering, along with comments on broader inflationary trends.

How do you predict the direction of the stock market?

The Put-Call Ratio (PCR): PCR is the standard indicator that has been used for a long time to gauge the market direction. This simple ratio is computed by dividing the number of traded put options by the number of traded call options.

Is February typically a good month for stocks?

Sixty-Two Years Proves Best Months to Buy Stocks Based on a 62 year study conducted by The Stock Trader's Almanac, five months of the year produce significantly better and safer returns than the other seven months of the year. These months were November, December, January, March and April.

How do you predict when stocks will go up or down?

Why we are doing so much work? We want to know if, from the current price levels, a stock will go up or down. The best indicator of this is stock's fair price. When fair price of a stock is below its current price, the stock has good possibility to go up in times to come.

What is the best weekday for stocks?

The Best Time of the Week To Buy Stocks And according to it, the best days for trading are Mondays. This is also known as “The Monday Effect” or “The Weekend Effect”. The Monday Effect – a theory suggesting that the returns of stocks and market movements on Monday are similar to those from the previous Friday.

Is February the worst month for stocks?

In fact, looking at the chart above of monthly average returns, September averages the worst among the calendar year. The October effect is also salient for some investors.

What month is historically the worst month for stocks?

SeptemberOne of the historical realities of the stock market is that it typically has performed poorest during the month of September. The "Stock Trader's Almanac" reports that, on average, September is the month when the stock market's three leading indexes usually perform the poorest.

How do you know if a stock will go up the next day?

The closing price on a stock can tell you much about the near future. If a stock closes near the top of its range, this indicates that momentum could be upward for the next day.

What is the most accurate stock predictor?

The MACD is the best way to predict the movement of a stock.

Do stocks usually drop on Fridays?

Stock prices fall on Mondays, following a rise on the previous trading day (usually Friday). This timing translates to a recurrent low or negative average return from Friday to Monday in the stock market.

What time of day are stocks highest?

The best times to day trade Day traders need liquidity and volatility, and the stock market offers those most frequently in the hours after it opens, from 9:30 a.m. to about noon ET, and then in the last hour of trading before the close at 4 p.m. ET.

Why do stocks fall on Mondays?

The Monday effect has been attributed to the impact of short selling, the tendency of companies to release more negative news on a Friday night, and the decline in market optimism a number of traders experience over the weekend.

Coronavirus and technicals lead to market swoon

The major averages hit their session lows around midday trading after a sudden move down. While the reason for the decline was not entirely clear, some traders pointed to some technical factors as well as a report from the state-run Global Times newspaper in China, which said coronavirus cases spiked at a hospital in Beijing.

Goldman and Intel drop, Apple falls

Goldman Sachs and Intel dropped 1.94% and 2.47%, respectively, to lead the Dow lower. Apple also contributed to the losses, dipping 1.03%.

What happens next?

Existing home sales numbers are set for release Friday. Investors will also be on the lookout for any updates on the coronavirus. Read more here.

Dow Jones Industrial Average rises 160 points

The Dow gained 160.35 points, or 0.6%, to close at 28,492.27. The Dow also briefly erased its losses for 2020 at one point. The S&P 500 advanced 0.2% to 3,484.55. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.3% to 11,625.34.

Banks jump, tech lags

JPMorgan Chase advanced 3% and Citigroup rose 1.7%. Wells Fargo and Bank of America were up 2.3% and1.9%, respectively. Facebook, meanwhile, dropped 3.5% and Amazon slid 1.2%. Netflix dropped 3.9% and Alphabet pulled back by 1%.

What happens next?

Data on consumer sentiment and personal income is set for release Friday.

Why is inflation transitory?

The other, put forth by Nobel Prize winning economist Paul Krugman, argues that this inflation is transitory, and primarily caused by supply-chain bottlenecks caused by COVID lockdowns bumping up against pent-up demand for goods as the economy recovers.

Is volatility trending downward?

However, volatility has been trending downward for over a year now, so the opportunities for stock and bond traders to make up for lost interest income is likely to make it harder for bank profits to continue to do as well as they've done considering the level of interest rates.

Who said more progress on employment before taper?

Fed's Evans says need more progress on employment before taper. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans signaled Thursday that U.S. job growth has been slower than he had expected and more improvement will be needed before the central bank can start ... 14 hours ago - Reuters.

How much has the Nasdaq 100 rallied in 2020?

Since hitting a pandemic low in March 2020, the Nasdaq 100 has rallied 125%, leaving it just below its all-time high. As tech earnings week approaches, the market is watching the results of the index's ... 9 hours ago - Bloomberg Markets and Finance.

Who is the head of the NY Fed?

NY Fed names Dianne Dobbeck as head of the supervision group. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced on Thursday that it named Dianne Dobbeck as the new head of its supervision group. 14 hours ago - Reuters.

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU)

The situation of the DJIA index continues sideways with the index trading between the daily SMA 50 & 200. Traders will wait for a breakout and close outside of the range to get confirmation on the next direction. At the current time, DJIA futures are trading down 39 points which indicates slightly limited weakness inside the range.

YUM brands Inc (YUM)

YUM share prices broke below the daily SMA 200 and managed to find support at the horizontal line. The upward movement tested the daily SMA 200 but the share prices could not make a clean breakout. If the share prices continue moving lower then traders will prepare for a bearish continuation.

How Did The Benchmarks Perform?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell 0.2% to close at 34,934.27. Notably, 13 components of the 30-stock index ended in green while 17 in red. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite finished at 14,124.09, sliding 0.1% due to the weak performance of large-cap stocks.

Geopolitical Conflicts Continue

On Feb 15, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that some Russian military units started returning to barrack after completing drills near the Ukraine border. However, on Feb 16, the NATO accused Russia that there is no evidence that Russian troops are moving back.

What Is Technical Analysis?

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Technical analysts buy and sell based on a company's past stock price movements, trading volumes, and investor sentiments. Technical analysis proponents take the position that factors such as sales growth, profitability, debt and cash on the balance sheet, and the industry in which a company operates are already priced in…
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Technical Analysis Limitations

  • Although there are some technical analysts who beat the market over time, various studies indicate the vast majority of technical analysis produces results little better than a coin flip. Over the short term -- minutes, days, weeks, or even months -- stock price movements are binary, meaning the likelihood of the price moving either up or down is about 50/50. Charts can also giv…
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Technical Analysis vs. Fundamental Analysis

  • Investors generally divide into two main camps: technical analysts and fundamental analysts. Fundamental analysts evaluate stocks based on industry and business fundamentals. Secular growth trends such as those occurring in digital advertising, cloud computing, and streaming TV are relevant to fundamental analysis, as are a company's prospects within its industry, its revenu…
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The Best Path to Long-Term Growth

  • The Motley Fool does not use technical analysis to predict stock price movements. Technical analysis might have merit for some traders, but the most sustainable path to achieving long-term investing success does not include short-term chart reading. Investors who own the stocks of companies for long periods of time view short-term technical analysis as a distraction. Focusin…
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