Stock FAQs

why u shouldnt buy disney stock

by Emmanuelle Gutmann Published 3 years ago Updated 2 years ago
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The shares have a lot of momentum and in the long-term, DIS stock price will climb further. On the other hand, investors shouldn’t buy Disney stock now because in the near-term, DIS stock will probably consolidate around the $140 to $150 level.

Cons of Buying Disney Stock
Disney's earnings show that theme park closures are the major threat to buying DIS stock. Similar to last quarter, Disney's parks, experiences and products segment took the hardest financial blow in the fourth quarter.

Full Answer

Is Disney a good stock to buy?

  • Pros of buying DIS.
  • Cons of buying DIS.
  • Getting the timing right.

Should you invest in Disney right now?

Whether now is the time to buy Disney depends on each investor's patience and investing timeline. Disney stock is a smart long-term investment as the strength of the business should see it through ...

When to sell Disney stock?

Disney's stock price is down by double-digit percentages in 2021, but several factors could create a surge in 2022. Walt Disney 's ( DIS -1.20% ) recovery from the coronavirus pandemic has been ...

How do I invest in Disney stock?

What you need to know when investing in The Walt Disney Co.

  • Recent Developments. On Sept. 30, 2021, actress Scarlett Johansson settled her lawsuit related the movie, Black Widow, with Disney.
  • Disney’s Latest Developments. What's Happening With Disney's Scarlett Johansson Lawsuit? ...
  • FAQs. Has DIS ever split its stock? ...

See more

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Is Disney stock a good buy right now?

A solid buy today Overall, the company's Q2 performance was sound -- its theme parks are bouncing back, and its streaming services continue to grow at a rapid clip.

What's wrong with Disney stock?

Disney's fourth quarter 2021 results disappointed investors, and its stock is falling. The decline was primarily due to slow growth in subscriber numbers for Disney Plus, its streaming service. Revenue for the company's other divisions improved compared to the same time last year.

Is Disney stock a good long-term investment?

Investors who believe Disney+ will be a long-term success are essentially getting the service for free, given Disney stock is the same price now as it was five years ago, which was before Disney's record fiscal 2019 year and the launch of Disney+ in 2019.

Should I buy Disney or Apple stock?

If you have to choose, it's simply a matter of personal preference and a quick look at your financial goals. Disney may have more room for growth from an income perspective, while Apple pays slightly more in the short-term. Both have excellent prospects for building value in the short-term and the long-term.

Is Disney a Buy Sell or Hold?

The Disney stock holds a buy signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock.

Is Disney stock expected to rise?

Stock Price Forecast The 26 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Walt Disney Co have a median target of 135.00, with a high estimate of 176.00 and a low estimate of 110.00. The median estimate represents a +39.52% increase from the last price of 96.76.

Does Warren Buffett own Disney stock?

Buffett bought $4 million of DIS for a 5% stake and sold after 12 months for $6 million and a 50% profit. Today, 5% of the company would be $9 billion for an annualized return of around 15% on the 6 million and around 16% on the $4 million.

Does Disney pay dividends?

The Walt Disney Company currently does not pay a dividend to its shareholders.

What is the best company to invest in right now?

The undervalued stocks of high-quality companies are compelling investments today. Investors have endured a lot of market uncertainty during 2022 so far....The 10 Best Stocks as of June 2022Equifax (EFX)Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV ADR (BUD)Guidewire Software (GWRE)ServiceNow (NOW)Tyler Technologies (TYL)Adobe (ADBE)More items...•

Is Netflix stock a good buy?

“We don't believe that Netflix's share price will approach 2021 levels for many years, but think that our price target of $280 is achievable within the next 12 months,” Pachter wrote in a note on Monday as Netflix's shares traded at $186. “We find Netflix shares to be a compelling investment.”

Is Tesla a good company to invest?

Strong growth and superior profitability In terms of vehicle production, Tesla has been full of great news in recent reports. Q1 production rose 69% year over year, which drove automotive revenue growth by 87% year over year.

Is Disney a monopoly?

According to the letter of the law, Disney is an oligopoly, a state of limited competition in which a market is shared by a small number of producers or sellers. Disney seems like a monopoly because it's the home of some of the most recognizable brands the world has seen.

The Outlook of Disney Stock

Disney+will cause Disney stock to jump further in the long-run. But in the near-term, the good news is already priced into DIS stock.

Beware Near-Term Valuation Risks

Over the last five years, the average forward price-earnings multiple of Disney stock has been about 17. Over the past decade, DIS stock price has spent very little time trading north of 20 times analysts’ average forward earnings estimate. The forward earnings multiple of Disney stock today is 27. That’s a very high number for this stock.

The Bottom Line on Disney Stock

Disney+ will push DIS stock price higher in the long-run, but concerns about its valuation will limit its near-term gains.

When will Disney+ be released?

Disney+ launched in November 2019 and has seen massive success in 2020. Disney's subscription services have been a strong play for its business. Combined paid subscriptions to Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu have reached more than 100 million within a year.

How much was Disney's fourth quarter revenue?

Revenue for the fourth quarter was $14.7 billion, with earnings per share (EPS) down 20 cents compared with $1.07 in the same quarter last year. Although the fallout from the pandemic is expected to hit Disney's bottom line next quarter, the pandemic's economic effects won't last forever.

How many subscribers does Disney+ have?

Disney's direct-to-consumer business has given the company an edge with its streaming services growing faster than expected. The quarter recorded more than 73 million paid subscribers to Disney+, 10 million for ESPN+ and 36 million for Hulu. Disney+ launched in November 2019 and has seen massive success in 2020.

Is Disney streaming going to reopen?

Disney's streaming business is headed in the right direction and its parks will eventually fully reopen, so there's no reason to believe that the company's long-term earnings power has changed, Hansen says. For now, though, the market is correctly implying earnings weakness through the course of this year, he says.

Does Disney own Netflix?

Unlike Netflix, Disney owns the products it puts into streaming, and that's very powerful because of their ability to leverage that into other products," Hansen explains. Disney uses its products to draw in customers, who are then used in the Disney+ platform.

Not that diversified after all

Disney reports business in four segments, and as it turns out, it isn't quite as diversified as it may look at first. Granted, coronavirus -- or at least the global response thus far to the pandemic -- is an unprecedented situation.

NYSE: DIS

That's because a wide swath of business isn't operating right now. All six parks -- Disneyland and Disney World here in the U.S., Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Paris -- are currently closed. So are its hotels, cruises, and live events.

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How much has Disney made since 2006?

Since 2006, the 22 films produced by Disney and Pixar have averaged $690 million at the box office. Since 2009, the 18 films produced by Disney's Marvel Studios have averaged $960 million in box office receipts. 4.

What is Disney's competitive advantage?

It's not just Disney's quantity of content that gives the company a competitive advantage. The quality of Disney's movies -- in terms of moviegoers' votes with their pocketbooks -- is unsurpassed. Disney's Marvel and Lucasfilm movies include the most popular franchises of all time, including the Avengers and Star Wars films. Since 2006, the 22 films produced by Disney and Pixar have averaged $690 million at the box office. Since 2009, the 18 films produced by Disney's Marvel Studios have averaged $960 million in box office receipts.

How many screens will Disney have in 2023?

Disney projects that there will be 1 billion video screens in the country by 2023 -- a prime market for the company's entertainment offerings. 8. Tremendous growth opportunities with streaming services. One of the top growth opportunities for Disney is in streaming.

How many movies does Disney own?

No company can claim the rich amount of content Disney can. So far, Disney has made more than 740 movies, stretching from Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs, released in 1937, to the just-released live-action Aladdin. That doesn't count the movies Disney now owns thanks to its acquisition of Twentieth Century Fox or Disney's hundreds of thousands of hours of television programs.

How many people are familiar with Disney?

The Disney brand has been strong for most of the past 100 years. In the 12 major global markets where Disney operates, a whopping 95% of consumers are familiar with its brands. And they're not just familiar with those brands: Over 1 billion people identify themselves as Disney fans.

What is Disney's strength?

One key strength of Disney is its ability to cross-market its intellectual property. But the company also "cross-pollinates" by taking an idea and developing multiple streams of income from that idea. For example, Disney turns its animated movies into live-action movies, as it did with Aladdin and Dumbo.

What is Disney's biggest growth opportunity?

One of the top growth opportunities for Disney is in streaming . The acquisition of Fox gave Disney a majority stake in Hulu, the fastest-growing TV streaming service in the United States. The company's Disney+ streaming service launches this year.

When will Disney's next fiscal year end?

Data source: Disney quarterly reports. The fiscal year 2020 ended on Oct. 3, 2020. Fiscal year 2021 Q1 ended on Jan. 2, 2021.

When will Disney+ end?

3, 2020. Fiscal year 2021 Q1 ended on Jan. 2, 2021. YOY=year over year. The entertainment giant launched Disney+, its premium streaming site, in November 2019, and that took off during the pandemic as more feature film-watching went online.

How many stores does Walmart have?

Walmart has nearly 5,000 U.S. stores and more than 11,000 locations worldwide. That's hard to beat, but it's also hard to generate high growth in such a saturated market. And because fiscal 2021 was so strong, the company is expecting slight year-over-year decreases in its fiscal 2022 metrics.

Does Walmart have omnichannel?

Prior to 2018, Walmart's e-commerce program did not contribute much of the total, and it invested in omnichannel capabilities to increase digital sales. That investment clearly paid off over the past 12 months. Disney's sales suffered during the pandemic with closed parks and experiences, but that business segment is slowly improving.

Is Disney stock more competitive than Walmart?

In terms of stock performance, Walmart and Disney are competitive. But Disney stock is trading at a much higher valuation than Walmart currently, suggesting traders expect high-growth performance over the coming year.

The media giant hasn't traded this low since the springtime of last year, and a lot has changed for the better and the worse

Shares of Disney ( DIS -1.04% ) have been sliding lately, and they have now fallen to their lowest levels since mid-April of last year. The recent headwinds are clear.

Starting lines matter

Early into this month's Disney sell-off, the bullish battlecry was that the stock had dropped below where it was on Nov. 12 of last year, the day it launched Disney+. The streaming video platform is a hit, armed with 28.6 million subscribers in just a couple of months of service.

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A holiday season gift

The company had said it expected its Disney+ subscriber growth rate to slow from pandemic-impacted levels. But when it reported fiscal 2021 fourth-quarter earnings on Nov. 10, investors were nonetheless surprised. The company only added 2.1 million additional paid subscribers in the three months ended Oct. 2, 2021.

Subscriber growth picture

The news that investors focused on most in Disney's recent quarterly report was the slowdown in its Disney+ subscriber growth. But stepping back from that single data point shows that the streaming service and the other direct-to-consumer (DTC) streaming options from Disney are performing well.

The rest of the business

With all the focus on Disney+ and the growing market of cord-cutters, it seems some investors have forgotten all about Disney's legacy businesses. The company relies heavily on travel, tourism, and consumers' desire for entertainment.

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The ESPN Problem Continues

As I detailed last month, “cord-cutting” weighed on DIS stock for several years. Despite a rally in the U.S. stock market, Disney shares traded basically sideways from 2015 to 2019.

The Profit and Debt Problem

It’s difficult to pin down the precise amount of earnings that will come from the media networks going forward. The acquisition of assets from 21st Century Fox closed last year, which impacts year-over-year comparisons. The Parks and Studio Entertainment businesses collapsed in the most recent quarter.

The Cautious Case for DIS Stock

To be clear, I don’t think Disney stock is a short. I don’t even believe long-term investors who own DIS need to sell immediately.

Meet Luke Lango

With his next-generation approach to investing, Luke Lango finds better stocks for you to invest in — not the same old companies over-hyped on Wall Street.

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