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why is peloton stock so low

by Mr. Bret Hegmann DVM Published 3 years ago Updated 2 years ago
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Peloton stock has been dropping because of its plans to optimize production levels and lower-than-expected subscriptions for Q2 FY 2022. PTON's near-term share price performance will be dependent on management's forward guidance that is likely to be issued when the company formally reports its Q2 results on February 8.

Peloton Interactive shares tumbled to an all-time low Friday as investors lose hope that the connected fitness equipment maker can turn itself around and post a profit, even under a new chief executive officer. The stock at one point dropped more than 13%, amid a broader sell-off, to touch an all-time low of $14.70.May 6, 2022

Full Answer

Should you buy peloton before it goes back up?

Peloton has finally announced a fix for some of its treadmills, which were recalled earlier this year after reports of accidents and injuries to users, though they're not yet back on sale.

Is peloton going out of business?

Peloton isn't going out of business. Peloton CEO John Foley has said that it's “right sizing” production due to seasonal factors. He also said that the company is “resetting our production levels...

Why you should buy the dip in peloton?

Wall Street’s terrible start may just be bad enough to tempt in some buyers, says strategist.

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Is it time to sell peloton stock?

This adds up to a cash crunch for Peloton sometime in the near future if this trend continues. And that is not going to fare well for PTON stock. However, the stock has been a favorite of analysts. The problem is that PTON stock has been falling this year. It ended last year at $151.72. As of Sept. 23, it was down $57.34 to just $94.38 per share.

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Why did Peloton stock drop?

With COVID-19 case counts moderating, more people are returning to gyms and fewer people are now buying the company's in-home exercise equipment. In all, Peloton's total revenue decreased by 24%, to $964.3 million. Gym reopenings have dented demand for Peloton's bikes and treadmills.

Is Peloton in financial trouble?

Peloton, the maker of tech-connected exercise bikes, saw its losses spiral in the first three months of the year, as the popularity it enjoyed during the pandemic faded. Revenue dropped 24% compared to last year, driven by sinking demand for bikes and treadmills, the firm said.

Will Peloton stock ever recover?

A new investor or set of investors will be wasting their money. Even if they can buy shares at a discount, Peloton's business model is so flawed that the company cannot recover. Peloton's shares trade near $17, down from a 52-week high of $129.70.

Is Peloton stock a good buy right now?

Bottom line: Peloton stock is not a buy right now. The stock has a long way to go to prove itself. PTON stock is at record lows. Losses are mounting while revenue is falling.

Is Peloton a failing company?

The short story is Peloton overextended itself and failed to foresee weaker demand once gyms re-opened. In 2020, Peloton's supply chain was struggling to keep up with the unexpected surge in demand created by people suddenly eager to work out at home.

What is happening with Peloton?

Peloton will lay off 2,800 employees and replace its CEO, cofounder John Foley. It's a stunning turnaround for a company that became a Wall Street darling during the pandemic. But increased competition and the return to gyms has hurt Peloton's business in recent months.

Is Peloton undervalued?

Over the last year, the stock's price-to-sales ratio has fallen from around 20 times trailing sales to just 1.7. Keep in mind the average stock that comprises the S&P 500 index trades at 2.9 times sales. This shows Peloton shares are likely undervalued.

Does Amazon own Peloton?

Amazon is rumored to be preparing a bid for fitness company Peloton, but the deal would likely be a bad idea for the Seattle-based company.

What happens to stock when a company is bought?

If the buyout is an all-cash deal, shares of your stock will disappear from your portfolio at some point following the deal's official closing date and be replaced by the cash value of the shares specified in the buyout. If it is an all-stock deal, the shares will be replaced by shares of the company doing the buying.

Is PTON a buy sell or hold?

The Historical Cash Flow Growth is the longer-term (3-5 year annualized) growth rate of the cash flow change....Momentum Scorecard. More Info.Zacks RankDefinitionAnnualized Return1Strong Buy24.75%2Buy18.15%3Hold9.70%4Sell5.35%2 more rows

Is Peloton stock a hold?

30 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Peloton Interactive in the last year. There are currently 14 hold ratings and 16 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "buy" Peloton Interactive stock.

Which stock should buy for long term?

Best Stocks to Buy in India for Long TermS.No.Long Term Stocks IndiaIndustry1.Reliance IndustriesMultinational Conglomerate2.Tata Consultancy Services (TCS)Information Technology3.InfosysInformation Technology4.HDFC BankBanking1 more row•Jun 19, 2022

NASDAQ: PTON

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As a pure subscription business, Netflix's expenses are easier to manage than Peloton's

Peloton Interactive ( PTON -3.65% ) makes exercise bikes and treadmills whereas Netflix ( NFLX -3.55% ) is a streaming-video subscription service that produces much of its own content. At first glance, these two companies couldn't be more different.

What's a subscription streaming service worth?

Despite the proliferation of streaming-TV content, there are few pure-play streaming stocks out there. Netflix is the giant in the space. CuriosityStream (NASDAQ: CURI) specializes in educational content. And fuboTV (NYSE: FUBO) is a sports-centric service.

Why is Peloton stock so cheap?

Of course, Peloton is not just a subscription business. In the first quarter of fiscal 2022 (the most recently reported quarter), 62% of total revenue came from hardware products: its exercise bikes and treadmills. And hardware profits are rapidly eroding. The Q1 hardware gross margin was just 12%, down from 39% in the same quarter last year.

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NASDAQ: PTON

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It's not the winning financial metric that bulls seem to think it is

No matter how bad things get for Peloton Interactive ( PTON -0.39% ) bulls, they always have a metric they can trot out to boost their case.

NASDAQ: PTON

But Peloton's churn rate isn't as rosy as it appears. And the way it presents that statistic helps explain why the stock price has plunged more than 80% since its peak last January and the reason the business is suddenly in disarray after being a market darling for much of the pandemic.

How Peloton defines churn

Before we discuss what Peloton's churn reveals about the stock, let's make sure we're clear on how it measures monthly retention.

What it says about Peloton's business

For all the hype around Peloton as a subscription juggernaut, it's fundamentally a hardware business.

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Disappointing Fiscal Fourth Quarter

Peloton’s results for the June-ending quarter were not all terrible — but they marked a big slowdown from the previous quarter.

Pallid First Quarter Outlook

Peloton PTON +5.1% forecasts a paltry 5.5% revenue increase for the September ending quarter to $800 million — over $200 million lower than analysts expected, according to CNBC — and depressed near-term profits.

Treadmill Recall

Peloton stock has fallen since a report in April that its treadmill was unsafe. As I wrote in May, it announced May 5 that after initially stonewalling a regulatory order to pull them off the market, Peloton was recalling and temporarily halting sales of its treadmills.

Falling Prices and Rising Costs

Trends are working against Peloton’s revenue and profit growth. As CNBC noted, Peloton is slashing by 20% the price of its Bike — a move that surprised analysts.

Dodgy Accounting

Auditors uncovered a flaw in Peloton’s books. As CNBC wrote, “An audit of fiscal 2021, which ended on June 30, discovered a ‘material weakness’ in the internal controls that govern Peloton’s financial reporting [for inventory]. It will not, however, result in the restatement of any of its past results, the company said.”

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