Stock FAQs

what stock sectors are good under trump

by Brad Reilly Published 3 years ago Updated 2 years ago
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Is the stock market doing better under Trump or not?

New York (CNN Business) The stock market has been one of President Donald Trump's favorite metrics for how the nation is doing. The awkward part: The market hasn't performed as well under his administration as it has under prior presidents.

What are the best stocks to buy under President Donald Trump?

Best Stocks to Buy Under President Donald Trump: U.S. Steel (X) United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:X) and other steel manufacturers have made it clear that they suffer at the hands of the Chinese steel manufacturers “dumping” steel into our domestic markets are prices that they can’t match.

What happened to stocks during Trump's presidency?

During President Bill Clinton's first term, the index climbed 79%. Stocks initially rallied when Trump was elected, as Corporate America focused on his pro-business agenda that included tax cuts, deregulation and promises of infrastructure spending.

Will Joe Biden focus on the stock market under Trump?

Under Joe Biden, who was sworn in as President on Wednesday, the stock market should take a less prominent spot on the White House's list of priorities. "The idea that the stock market is booming is his only measure of what's happening," Biden said of Trump in the final presidential debate in October.

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California's S&P 500 Tech Stocks Dominate Under Trump

Looking further still, tech has done even more remarkably well with Trump in the White House. Seven of the top 10 S&P 500 stocks during the Trump Administration are in the tech sector. And five of those tech-stock winners are based in California.

Trump's Favored S&P 500 Stocks And Sectors Languish

Meanwhile, Trump's more favored sectors and industries haven't performed nearly as well.

What About Amazon.com?

One of Trump's favorite corporate targets is Amazon.com ( AMZN ). Trump and Amazon.com CEO Jeff Bezos have indirectly clashed several times. The company is also challenging the government's recent decision to award a large cloud-computing project to Microsoft ( MSFT ).

Will the prison system get busy?

According to President Trump, the prison system would get busy, fast, as illegal residents of the country could be rounded up and worked through the legal system in an effort to return them to their countries of origin, where they could possibly begin a new route to U.S. citizenship.

Is infrastructure spending in the platform for both candidates?

Infrastructure spending is in the platform for both candidates. America’s roads, bridges and airports are aging — rapidly — and either Clinton or Trump will be forced to address the need.

Did Trump address the aging fleet of ships and aircraft within our military's arsenal?

Trump has made it a point to address the aging fleet of ships and aircraft within our military’s arsenal. At one venue, Donald Trump pointed out that there were B-52s still in commission that were older than anyone in the crowd of supporters watching him speak.

Why did stocks rally after Trump was elected?

Stocks initially rallied when Trump was elected, as Corporate America focused on his pro-business agenda that included tax cuts, deregulation and promises of infrastructure spending. The economy was strong, too, helping fuel the market boom.

What did Joe Biden say about the stock market?

"The idea that the stock market is booming is his only measure of what's happening," Biden said of Trump in the final presidential debate in October. "Where I come from in Scranton and Claymont, ...

How much did the S&P 500 rise during Obama's first term?

Under President Barack Obama, the S&P 500 rose 85% during his first term, having hit rock bottom in March 2009 during the financial crisis. During President Bill Clinton's first term, the index climbed 79%.

Did Biden promise to change the stock market?

On Wednesday, Biden's first day in office, all three major US stock indexes ended the day at all-time highs. Biden has never made any promises about how well the stock market would do during his term, and that's not likely to change now that he's been sworn in. But one way or another, he's off to a good start.

What is Trump's tax plan?

Trump’s tax plan calls for cutting taxes for top earners. Among other things, he would lower the highest federal income tax bracket to 25% from the top rate of 43.4% and ax the alternative minimum tax, a supplemental assessment that tends to boost tax bills for more well-heeled filers.

Who is Hillary Clinton's rival?

Both Clinton and her biggest rival for the Democratic nod, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, have voiced desires to shut down the for-profit prison industry. Geo’s stock has shed 24% of its value since April 2015, when both Clinton and Sanders announced their candidacies.

What is the main source of demand for Vulcan materials?

Commercial construction provides the other major source of demand for Vulcan’s materials. That’s a plus, because building warehouses, parking garages, office buildings and hotels typically requires more of Vulcan’s materials than does construction of houses.

What is the biggest U.S. producer of construction aggregates?

Increased spending on roads, bridges and highways would be a boon for Vulcan Materials , the largest U.S. producer of construction aggregates, such as gravel and crushed stone. Roughly half of the company’s shipments go to public-sector projects such as highways.

Will Trump resuscitate the coal industry?

Trump may be better known for his vow to resuscitate the coal industry than for any statements he’s made about oil, but he is more likely to give the oil industry a boost, says Paul Christopher, head global market strategist for the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

Is Exxon still profitable?

Even as the price of oil slid from $108 a barrel in June 2014 to $26 last February, Exxon remained profitable thanks to cost cutting and results from its sizable refining and chemical operations, which benefit from lower oil prices (low energy prices mainly hurt the exploration-and-production part of the business).

How much did the S&P 500 gain in 2000?

From Clinton's election through the end of his second term in 2000, the S&P 500 gained 16.5% a year, on average, says Sam Stovall, chief market strategist at CFRA. That tops the 11.2% compound average annual gains of No. 2 Trump and No. 3 George H. W. Bush.

Has the S&P 500 increased since 1960?

The fact is, the S&P 500, since 1960, has increased no matter if Republicans or Democrats were president, says a study by Chao Ma, investment strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

Did the S&P 500 do well with Trump?

Perhaps the top shock is that the S&P 500 didn 't do best with President Trump at the helm. That's somewhat unexpected given the amount of time and attention he pays to the stock markets. The top gains for the S&P 500 from election day, by far, go to former President Bill Clinton.

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Finance

Industrials

  • This one is pretty straightforward. Trump’s promise of increased infrastructure spending makes industrials stocks attractive, especially stocks related to construction. The plan he released in October says the $1 trillion in infrastructure projects would be financed without raising taxes and the projects themselves would be required to generate cas...
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Basic Materials

  • Less has been made of what will happen in basic materials, but like industrials, this sector would likely benefitfrom increased infrastructure spending.
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Healthcare

  • Although healthcare stocks were mostly up following Trump’s win, the prognosis for this sector, or for certain industries within, is murky. Following the surprise election outcome, investors bought up biotech and pharmaceutical stocks on the expectation that Trump would be hands-off (relative to Clinton, who was expected to crack down on high drug pricing). Health insurance stocks wen…
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Energy

  • Although it is not clear exactly what Trump will do with regard to energy and environmental policy, much of the energy sector could profit off of what will likely be looser regulations. By selecting a climate change skepticto head his EPA transition team, in addition to his own comments about the environment, Trump has signaled that he will probably roll back environmental regulations a…
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Technology

  • Tech stocks took a dive after the election, based on fears around Trump’s anti-immigration and isolationist trade outlook, as well as bad blood between the President-Elect and many Silicon Valley leaders. The tech sector relies on cheap overseas manufacturing as well as skilled immigrant labor (computer programmers, to be specific). Thus any new anti-trade and anti-immi…
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Consumer Cyclical

  • As long as the economy continues to strengthen and grow, consumer cyclicals will produce winners. An interest rate rise would add friction for this sector, but then again, the federal funds rate will only be increased once the Fed determines that the economy is resilient enough to handle it, so the total effect could be minimal. The Trump policies that could impact the tech sector cou…
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Real Estate, Utilities, and Consumer Defensive

  • Real estate, utilities, and consumer defensive may have a tougher go of it. Few specific policy proposals of Trump’s have been called out with regard to these sectors; instead the macroeconomic climate is most important. With bond yields rising and an expected increase to the federal funds rate, these traditional “yielding” sectors could be hurt if income-oriented invest…
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Communication Services

  • The smallest sector could be joltedby some of Trump’s proposed policies. Trump and the Republican-controlled Congress could dismantle net neutrality and consumer privacy regulations, which would favor large media conglomerates and could disadvantage smaller firms. It is also worth noting that Trump has vowed to disrupt big media mergers such as AT&T and Time Warner.
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Summary

  • As you can see, there are many open questions about precisely what kinds of policies the new administration will seek to enact. As Trump’s policies take shape, investors will be able to form a clearer picture of who will be the winners and losers in the years to come. In the meantime, if you’re a long-term investor, don’t let the current market exuberance (or pessimism, in some case…
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