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what could affect the stock market

by Margret Rau Published 3 years ago Updated 2 years ago
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Factors That Affect the Stock Market

  • Economics. Macro-economic factors such as interest rates, inflation, unemployment and economic growth often move stock markets.
  • Politics. A belief by investors that control of the government by one party or the other will hurt or benefit them can move the market as whole.
  • Natural and Man-Made Disasters. ...
  • Market Psychology. ...

Macro-economic factors such as interest rates, inflation, unemployment and economic growth often move stock markets. Stock markets are always rooting for more economic growth, because it usually means more profits for companies, and more profits tend to grow the value of stocks.

Full Answer

What kinds of things affect the stock market?

Things Affecting the Stock Market

  • Economy. The conditions in a regional economy have the potential to affect the stock market. ...
  • Expectations. Corporate profits are among the factors that affect stock market performance. ...
  • Confidence. The level of investors' confidence has an effect on the level of participation in the stock market, according to a Santa Clara University study.
  • Social Media. ...

What factors influence the stock market?

Macroeconomic Impact on the Market

  • Gross Domestic Product. GDP or Gross Domestic Product is a critical economic indicator that is considered a barometer of a country’s economy and a statement on its well being.
  • Inflation. ...
  • Industrial production and sales. ...
  • Unemployment rate. ...

What is the most basic factor that affects stock price?

While many forces affect the market price of any stock, the most basic is supply and demand, according to the New York Stock Exchange. If more investors want to buy a particular stock than there are investors willing to sell their stock, the market price of that stock will increase.

How does the news affect the stock market?

As the world watches to see whether Russia invades Ukraine, the question arises –how would this affect the stock market? Pete Holloway, senior vice president at Hazlett Burt and Watson summed it up in two words: Remain calm. Holloway said the market goes ...

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What factors can affect the stock market?

Factors affecting stock marketSupply and demand. There are so many factors that affect the market. ... Company related factors. ... Investor sentiment. ... Interest rates. ... Politics. ... Current events. ... Natural calamities. ... Exchange rates.

What are 4 factors that affect stock prices?

Stock prices rise when buy orders outnumber sell orders, and prices decline when sell orders outnumber buy orders. Demand is proportional to four factors: earnings, economy, expectations and emotion. Stock prices usually rise when all four factors are positive and fall when all four are negative.

What are the 3 main factors that affect stock?

Supply and demand, company financial performance and broad economic trends are three factors that affect the market value of stocks.

What events can affect stock prices?

Company stock prices and the stock market in general can be affected by world events such as war and civil unrest, natural disasters and terrorism. These influences can be direct and indirect, and they often occur in chain reactions.

What makes stock market go up and down?

Stock prices go up and down based on supply and demand. When people want to buy a stock versus sell it, the price goes up. If people want to sell a stock versus buying it, the price goes down. Forecasting whether there will be more buyers or sellers of a certain stock requires additional research, however.

What causes stock price to drop?

When investors begin a major sell-off of their shares of a company's stock, it increases the amount of available stock in the markets. When the supply of the available stock for sale is higher than investor demand to purchase the stock, it leads to a decrease in stock price.

What are the 4 major market forces?

These factors are government, international transactions, speculation and expectation, and supply and demand.

Does the economy affect the stock market?

Economic growth can be measured in several ways, but one of the most prominent is by following gross domestic product (GDP). When GDP is growing, individual businesses are producing more and usually expanding. Expanding business activity usually increases valuations and leads to stock market gains.

Who sets the stock market price?

Generally speaking, the prices in the stock market are driven by supply and demand. This makes the stock market similar to other economic markets. When a stock is sold, a buyer and seller exchange money for share ownership. The price for which the stock is purchased becomes the new market price.

What happens if no one sells a stock?

When there are no buyers, you can't sell your shares—you'll be stuck with them until there is some buying interest from other investors. A buyer could pop in a few seconds, or it could take minutes, days, or even weeks in the case of very thinly traded stocks.

How does politics affect the stock market?

Stocks likely to be affected by political decision-making that is currently in process and expected in the future, for instance, may trade sideways if there is uncertainty. Potential investors don't know whether the final decisions are going to be positive for the businesses, negative or neutral.

What makes share prices go up?

The main factors that determine whether a share price moves up or down are supply and demand. Essentially, if more people want to buy a share than sell it, the price will rise because the share is more sought-after (the 'demand' outstrips the 'supply').

What are the factors that affect the stock market in India?

Politics. One of the most important factors affecting stock market in India is the political climate of the country. If the political climate is dire, with the government appearing weak, risk of war, or if the public sentiment regarding the current government is not good, the price of stock will go down.

What is bearish market?

Bearish market: A bearish market is one where the investor is more worried about risks and losing his or her investment and therefore, invests with lesser confidence with safety in mind.

What is the stock market?

A stock market is a place or a platform where investors can buy and sell financial instruments like shares and bonds. A stock market exchange, like the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange, BSE and NSE in short, respectively, are stock exchange mediators that allow buying and selling stock.

Is Aditya Birla Capital Group liable for any decision arising out of this information?

Readers are advised to exercise discretion and should seek independent professional advice prior to making any investment decision in relation to any financial product. Aditya Birla Capital Group is not liable for any decision arising out of the use of this information.

What is high risk and high yield?

This simply means that at the expense of greater risk, you will get much higher returns. The most common and popular way to achieve this is to invest in the stock market.

How does the stock market perform?

How the stock market performs has something to do with the way investors are putting in money. If investors are taking greater risks and investing aggressively, then stock prices will go up. On the other hand, if investors are more subdued, choosing safety over risk, then the stock prices will come down.

What is the tenet of future financial planning?

One of the many tenets of future financial planning is investment. To counter inflation and to build a corpus, we invest our money in various financial elements with the idea that our investment will grow gradually like a well-watered plant. TABLE OF CONTENT.

1. Natural Disaster

Natural Disaster like Excessive rainfall, drought, loss of grain, unemployment, factors affecting the stock market, Due to wet drought and dry drought, the soil is damaged, causing severe damage to crops. Companies that rely on pins such as tobacco, sugar, and cotton also have a lot of upside in their share prices.

3. Shortage of Raw Material and Company Issue

If raw material is not produced for some reason, the company has to import the raw material from abroad in order to continue to generate income. This increases the selling price of a company’s product and affects its ability to make a profit.

4. Global Market

If the world’s indexes such as the US DowJones and the UK’s Nasdaq, Germany’s Dex and Japan’s Nikkei, Hong Kong’s Hegazan, South Korea’s Kospi, Singapore’s Straits Times are all affected, the stock market is affected.

5. Financial Budget of Country

The impact of our country’s budget on the stock market. The budget is usually announced in February in our country. It is divided into two parts, a railway budget and a financial budget. Changes in railway budget affect the stock market and financial budgets have a huge impact on the stock market.

How does an earthquake affect stock market?

Natural or man-mad disasters with economic consequences also affect stock markets. If an earthquake happens in a bustling city where there's lots of economic activity, markets will move down as investors fear a negative impact on economic growth.

Why do stocks move?

Macro-economic factors such as interest rates, inflation, unemployment and economic growth often move stock markets. Stock markets are always rooting for more economic growth, because it usually means more profits for companies, and more profits tend to grow the value of stocks.

What are the factors that affect the stock market?

Factors That Affect the Stock Market. While the performance of an individual company varies in the stock market due to news about its performance, such as earnings reports and acquisition announcements, there are outside influences that will affect stocks and the market as a whole. These factors include, but aren't limited to: economics, politics, ...

What is the belief that control of the government by one party or the other will hurt or benefit them?

A belief by investors that control of the government by one party or the other will hurt or benefit them can move the market as whole. This is especially true in times of intense domestic turmoil. Significant developments abroad also can affect U.S. markets.

Does high inflation slow down economic growth?

High inflation has the opposite effect, because it signals that interest rates will be rising in the immediate or near future, thus slowing economic growth. Rising unemployment foreshadows lower economic growth, and falling unemployment tells stock investors that growth is on the way.

Where is Wayne Marks?

Wayne Marks has more than 20 years of experience in finance, education, public relations and marketing in both New York City and Washington, D.C. He has worked for corporate and nonprofit organizations and holds a certificate from the Wharton School of Business.

Few Macroeconomic Factors That Affect the Developed Economies

In the developed economies of the world, interest rate primarily affects the stock market. The hike in the rate usually means that the borrowing has become expensive/costlier. Here, lower profit margin= fall in prices of stock= causing the market to a dropdown.

Causes of Stock Market Rise and Fall in Developing Countries (Particularly)

The stock prices of companies from the ”same industries” are in sequence with each other. This is because the conditions of the market “ usually” affect the companies of the same industry in the same way.

Conclusion: How To Deal With Factors Affecting Stock Market?

Hence, various macroeconomic, microeconomic factors need to be well analyzed to understand factors affecting stock prices. Factors affecting the stock market are usually interrelated.

What is earnings base?

An earnings base, such as earnings per share (EPS) A valuation multiple, such as a P/E ratio. An owner of common stock has a claim on earnings, and earnings per share (EPS) is the owner's return on their investment. When you buy a stock, you are purchasing a proportional share of an entire future stream of earnings.

Why is low inflation bad for stocks?

2  Deflation, on the other hand, is generally bad for stocks because it signifies a loss in pricing power for companies.

What is valuation multiple?

The valuation multiple expresses expectations about the future. As we already explained, it is fundamentally based on the discounted present value of the future earnings stream. Therefore, the two key factors here are:

What drives stock prices?

Stock prices are driven by a variety of factors, but ultimately the price at any given moment is due to the supply and demand at that point in time in the market. Fundamental factors drive stock prices based on a company's earnings and profitability from producing and selling goods and services. Technical factors relate to a stock's price history ...

Why do you buy stock with a valuation multiple?

That's the reason for the valuation multiple: It is the price you are willing to pay for the future stream of earnings. 1:26.

What is discount rate?

The discount rate, which is used to calculate the present value of the future stream of earnings. A higher growth rate will earn the stock a higher multiple, but a higher discount rate will earn a lower multiple. What determines the discount rate? First, it is a function of perceived risk.

Why do stocks move up?

Often a stock simply moves according to a short-term trend. On the one hand, a stock that is moving up can gather momentum, as "success breeds success" and popularity buoys the stock higher. On the other hand, a stock sometimes behaves the opposite way in a trend and does what is called reverting to the mean. Unfortunately, because trends cut both ways and are more obvious in hindsight, knowing that stocks are "trendy" does not help us predict the future.

What happens to the market as interest rates fall?

Conversely, as interest rates fall, it becomes easier for entities to borrow money, resulting in lower-yielding debt issuances.

How does the business cycle affect the market?

At the onset of a weakening economy, a modest boost provided by lower interest rates is not enough to offset the loss of economic activity; stocks may continue to decline.

What is the measure of the sensitivity of a bond's price to a change in interest rates called?

The measure of the sensitivity of a bond's price to a change in interest rates is called the duration . One way governments and businesses raise money is through the sale of bonds. As interest rates rise, the cost of borrowing becomes more expensive for them, resulting in higher-yielding debt issuances.

What is the interest rate that impacts the stock market?

The interest rate that impacts the stock market is the federal funds rate. Also known as the discount rate, the federal funds rate is the rate at which depository institutions borrow from and lend to each other overnight.

Why did the Dow drop?

The number of points the Dow dropped on Oct. 10, 2018, due to the fear of higher interest rates. That said, the Dow also dropped even more significantly in March 2020 as the Fed cut rates to near zero amidst the global coronavirus pandemic.

What is interest rate?

Interest rates refer to the cost someone pays for the use of someone else's money. When the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which consists of seven governors of the Federal Reserve Board and five Federal Reserve Bank presidents, sets the target for the federal funds rate —the rate at which banks borrow from and lend to each other overnight—it ...

What is the opposite effect of a rate hike?

A decrease in interest rates by the Federal Reserve has the opposite effect of a rate hike. Investors and economists alike view lower interest rates as catalysts for growth—a benefit to personal and corporate borrowing. This, in turn, leads to greater profits and a robust economy.

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Interest Rates

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In the United States, interest rates are determined by the Federal Reserve Board and change periodically. When interest rates drop, investors tend to buy more shares. Lower interest rates translate to less risk, making the stock market a very attractive way to invest. This surge in purchasing also results in an overall econo…
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Investor Emotion

  • Psychology plays a huge roll in the stock market, where the moods of investors can cause extreme swings in share prices. For example, a bear market can be the result of bad news that causes anxious or fearful investors to sell. This panic to sell quickly can be one of the catalysts in starting a recession. By contrast, a bull market can be brought on by good news and confident in…
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Company and Industry Performance

  • Changes within a company, or even an entire industry, can have a huge effect on stock prices. Even the very anticipation of a change or announcement can cause investors to buy or sell. Announcements that can cause the stock market to fluctuate include: 1. Earnings reports or estimations 2. Mergers/acquisitions 3. New product releases 4. Product recalls 5. Layoffs 6. Sca…
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Inflation and Deflation

  • Inflation is the term for the rate at which the cost of producing, shipping, and selling goods increases. Inflation can cause companies to cut back on spending in an effort to save money which, in turn, causes the price of stocks to drop. This often causes many investors to sell. Deflation is when the cost of manufacturing and selling goods goes down. Despite the fact that …
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Exchange Rates

  • Companies who conduct business with other countries have to pay close attention to exchange rates. If the rates change unfavorably, the cost of doing business overseas can go up, causing stock prices to fluctuate.
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Politics

  • Most politicians get their campaign contributions from just a few individuals and, typically, these wealthy benefactors represent massive companies or entire industries. When so many businesses have their fingers in the political pie, election season has a huge impact on the stock market. Foreign politics can have an effect on the U.S. stock market as well. Political shifts in co…
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