Stock FAQs

how to spot a breakout stock

by Ms. Aleen Lehner PhD Published 2 years ago Updated 2 years ago
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To identify breakout stocks, first you'll need to find a market with a defined area of support or resistance. As we've already seen, the more times a stock has bounced off this level, the better. When a market gets stuck in a channel between clear support and resistance levels, it's known as consolidation.

What is a breakout in the stock market?

A stock market breakout or a breakout in a specific share is a tradable event that some active investors can base an entire strategy around. A breakout is when a stock or stock index moves beyond a level of support and resistance that it has struggled to move above or below in the past. Learning how to identify and trade potential breakout stocks ...

What does it mean when a stock is a breakout?

Price action within the share market is affected by supply and demand, and when a breakout signal occurs, this usually means that buyers have succeeded in pushing the stock’s price above the resistance level. In the case of a downside or negative breakout stock, sellers have pushed the price below support. While not all breakouts lead to big price movements, every big price movement will have multiple breakouts, typically starting with an initial breakout.

How to tell if a Bollinger band is going to breakout?

Watch for the bands to visually narrow and move sideways. When the price is making large movements, the bands will be wide apart. When the price is moving steadily, the bands will contract. Quiet periods are often followed by larger price movements and a subsequent breakout. In the Alibaba stock chart below, we can see that Alibaba shares showed this pattern before doubling in price over the next year. Note how the bands narrow compared to their prior width. A breakout above the Bollinger Band signals a potential breakout.

What does it mean when the price of a stock is near the prior high?

Once the share price is near the prior high, if the price swings start to get smaller and smaller, this means that the size of the price movement is contracting. You can draw trendlines on the swing highs and lows of these price swings, in order to see the handle of the cup, using the drawing tools on our advanced online trading platform ​. When the price moves above the upper trendline of the cup, traders may consider buying.

What is a breakout strategy in stocks?

A breakout strategy for stocks also requires an exit point if the trade turns profitable. Unlike long-term investors, breakout traders nail down their profits periodically. Each of the breakout methods discussed below involve both a stop-loss and a way to take profit.

How to tell if a breakout is good?

Another signal of a good breakout is if the breakout area holds on re-tests. If the price falls right back through the resistance level, this is not a good sign and traders could look to exit the trade. If there are no positive signals, a trend reversal in the opposite direction is more likely.

Why do you need a stop loss on each trade?

Another result is that the price may breakout but then fail to move much afterwards. Not only does this mean that you will not get the profit expected, it also ties up your capital, wasting time and energy. For this reason, it is advisable to place a stop loss on each trade. This controls the risk and ensures that one losing trade does not jeopardise the whole account.

What does it mean when the market is a breakout?

When a breakout occurs, the market is telling you that there is a shift in supply and demand. As bulls or bears become more aggressive, this can lead to an imbalance large enough to sustain the breakout through the channel. It’s key to watch the volume.

Why enter a trade before a breakout?

Entering Prior to Breakout. The power of entering a trade prior to the breakout is you get to avoid the high slippage and volatility incurred when you enter on the breakout. You also get a much better price than those who enter after the breakout occurs.

What happens if a breakout happens on low volume?

If the breakout happened on low volume, the level of aggression is low and the move might not be sustained. Even worse, the move might be a fake breakout. High volume on a breakout signals that institutions, not just traders, are behind the move. Institutions defend their positions through continued buying and selling.

What direction should breakout trades be taken?

Taking breakout trades in the direction of the long-term trend puts the probabilities further in our favor. If we’re trading a breakout on a 15-minute chart, it’s smart to confirm the long-term trend is in the direction of the breakout on hourly and daily charts.

What is breakout trade?

What is a Breakout Trade? A breakout trade is when a stock breaks above or below a significant support or resistance level after failing to do so in previous attempts. The break of this significant channel can bring about a huge price move and a new trend.

Why do traders place stop loss at random prices?

Many traders place their stop loss at random prices, because that’s the price where they’d lose their maximum risk level. This usually ends with the trader being shaken out of the trade because they tried to take too much risk and as a consequence, had to have a tight stop.

What are the components of a breakout?

Components to a Successful Breakout. The best breakouts usually break out of very obvious, well defined support or resistance levels. These are levels of massive supply and demand, and when broken, can lead to a buying or selling frenzy. We need to be able to not only identify these important levels, but identify the behavior ...

What is breakout in stock market?

A breakout occurs when a stock’s price moves (rather violently) outside a defined resistance or support level. This is key. Mess up the definition of the levels and you won’t be able to properly gauge the pattern. Before you can securely gauge the pattern, you need to have a solid understanding of what a support and resistance level is. A support level is a price point which historically, a stock’s price has difficulty falling below. It’s like a bottom that refuses to budge lower. The graph below illustrates this principle…

What is breakout penny stock?

Breakout penny stocks are the stuff of dreams for most day traders; when they occur, a simple trade can balloon into something spectacular. Often breakout penny stocks can deliver gains north of 800% on a solid day. But how do you spot them?

How long does it take to break resistance on penny stocks?

This could be extrapolated over 3 days (a swing trade) or even over a month. It all depends on what your time horizon is for trading breakout penny stocks.

How often do you play the breakout game?

Some traders play the breakout game every day, often in multiple positions within a short space of time (1 hour). Others take a longer view but the outcome is still the same: breakout penny stocks delivering the goodies for those that know how to spot them.

How to keep alert for a breakout?

In order to keep alert for a breakout you need to be tracking the support and resistance levels for a given stock over time. These time periods can be anything depending on your trading style as breakout patterns can occur over any time frame. A typical penny stock could in theory have multiple resistance points set on any given day.

What is resistance in penny stocks?

Resistance is the opposite of support, representing a price point above which a stock’s price has historically failed to penetrate. It’s like a ceiling that’s made of a hard substance. In both cases, support and resistance levels, a day trader is looking at areas of considerable pressure. Breakout penny stocks converge at the upward points of this pressure curve. As you can imagine, they are a boon when they pop.

Why do stocks have flat bases?

Flat bases are unique because the stock moves sideways for weeks. A flat base will often form after a stock successfully breaks out from a cup or other type of base. From there, the stock will then stall for a period of time, and this price action is what forms the flat base.

What is flat base in stocks?

The flat base is one of eight reliable patterns IBD has identified for growth stocks. Flat bases are unique because the stock moves sideways for weeks.

Why does a stock move sideways?

Often the stock moves sideways due to a weak or sideways market. When the overall market finally begins to rally, the stock will move higher out of the flat area.

When did Nvidia breakout?

Nvidia's flat base completed with a breakout in September of 2016 and was a total of five weeks long. The highest point of the base, 63.50, plus 10 cents gave a proper buy point of 63.60. During the week of Sept. 23, 2016, Nvidia stock broke out above the buy point in heavy volume. With any breakout, look for volume at least 40% above the stock's average turnover.

How to spot an uptrend?

One of the ways to spot an uptrend is to look for a stock creating new all-time highs. These price points are critically important because they confirm the stock's primary uptrend.

Why is a consolidation breakout important?

Longer-term consolidation breakouts are very important because Alpha Trader is a longer-term system. Its rules to exit a position are slow. This slowness requires big trends to make big profits. And as we've seen in the example above, big trends derive their power from longer-term consolidation breakouts.

What is a breakout in stock?

A breakout is a stock price moving outside a defined support or resistance level with increased volume. A breakout trader enters a long position after the stock price breaks above resistance or enters a short position after the stock breaks below support.

What is breakout in trading?

A breakout is a potential trading opportunity that occurs when an asset's price moves above a resistance level or moves below a support level on increasing volume. The first step in trading breakouts is to identify current price trend patterns along with support and resistance levels in order to plan possible entry and exit points.

Why are breakouts important?

The reason breakouts are such an important trading strategy is because these setups are the starting point for future volatility increases, large price swings and, in many circumstances, major price trends. Breakouts occur in all types of market environments.

How to know when a trade has failed?

It is important to know when a trade has failed. Breakout trading offers this insight in a fairly clear manner. After a breakout, old resistance levels should act as new support and old support levels should act as new resistance. This is an important consideration because it is an objective way to determine when a trade has failed and an easy way to determine where to set your stop-loss order. After a position has been taken, use the old support or resistance level as a line in the sand to close out a losing trade. As an example, study the PCZ chart below.

What are the breakouts in the market?

Breakouts occur in all types of market environments. Typically, the most explosive price movements are a result of channel breakouts and price pattern breakouts such as triangles, flags, or head and shoulders patterns .

How to tell if a breakout is fake?

To determine the difference between a breakout and a fakeout, wait for confirmation . For example, fakeouts occur when prices open beyond a support or resistance level, but by the end of the day, they wind up moving back within a prior trading range. If an investor acts too quickly or without confirmation, there is no guarantee that prices will continue into new territory. Many investors look for above-average volume as confirmation or wait toward the close of a trading period to determine whether prices will sustain the levels they've broken out of.

How to use recent price action to set a price target?

When planning target prices, look at the stock's recent behavior to determine a reasonable objective. When trading price patterns, it is easy to use the recent price action to establish a price target. For example, if the range of a recent channel or price pattern is six points, that amount should be used as a price target once the stock breaks out (see below).

How to tell if candlestick is a breakout?

1 – Wait to see if the candlestick closes through the line of support or resistance.

What is the evil twin of breakout patterns?

The breakout pattern has an evil twin – the scourge of all breakout traders: the fakeout.

What indicator is used to find momentum?

So, if we’re looking for a breakout, we’ll expect that breakout to come with a degree of momentum. And I’ll use the RSI indicator to find that momentum – RSI measures speed of a move… so if that speed is increasing… momentum will be building…

Why do amateur traders enter their trades too early?

Amateurs enter their trades too early because they fear that they are going to miss it. But you need to get rid of such FOMO -driven beliefs. Always wait for a complete close of the breakout candle to avoid fake/false breakouts. The scenario below shows why waiting for a close of the breakout is so important.

Can we predict breakouts?

Can we really predict breakouts? Well, kind of. Although we will never know what is going to happen BEFORE it will happen, there are certain clues that will help us identify high-probability potential breakouts.

Does trading have to be complicated?

Trading doesn’t have to be that complicated and many traders will dismiss this lower bounce pattern. But once you start paying attention to those little nuances in price action trading, you will be able to understand the buyer-seller dynamic on a much deeper level.

Do you trade a breakout before the price breaks out?

We strictly do not recommend trading a breakout before the price actually broke out of the structure, but if you can identify a breakout that comes with such a lower bounce pattern, you are looking at a high probability setups. At the same time, once you start seeing the lower bounce develop, pay close attention to the price action and get ready for a move.

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